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Re: The genius...

By: Gsratio in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Fri, 20 Mar 20 1:50 PM | 23 view(s)
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Msg. 34799 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 34795 by Cactus Flower)

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The big picture is yearly death rate,this then gives an
average monthly & then daily rate.The 4,000 TB daily rate
comes from the yearly rate.It would be possible to have
a 10,000 C daily rate over a few weeks for a peak & then
end up with a daily 500 rate when averaged for a year.

Seems most people's immune system deals with C
really well already.........99% of deaths in Italy are from
underlying illnesses.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: The genius...
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Fri, 20 Mar 20 1:39 PM
Msg. 34795 of 54959

So you are moving from TB to Spanish flu as we approach the old TB bar! Maybe it's a bar of soap, rather than a high jump.

I also notice you've switched from the per day comparison to per month. For consistency, let's stick with the daily number you previously quoted: 4,000. We aren't too far away.

I agree that the death rate is hard to measure. Not only due to the number of active cases, but also, in the other direction, because deaths from people who haven't been tested ought to be included [the Italians say this explains Germany's low death rate numbers].

I do hope the scientists get us out of this hole quickly.


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