So you are moving from TB to Spanish flu as we approach the old TB bar! Maybe it's a bar of soap, rather than a high jump.
I also notice you've switched from the per day comparison to per month. For consistency, let's stick with the daily number you previously quoted: 4,000. We aren't too far away.
I agree that the death rate is hard to measure. Not only due to the number of active cases, but also, in the other direction, because deaths from people who haven't been tested ought to be included [the Italians say this explains Germany's low death rate numbers].
I do hope the scientists get us out of this hole quickly.