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Re: The genius...

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Fri, 20 Mar 20 1:39 PM | 20 view(s)
Boardmark this board | The Trust Matrix 		Msg. 34795 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 34792 by Gsratio)
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So you are moving from TB to Spanish flu as we approach the old TB bar! Maybe it's a bar of soap, rather than a high jump.

I also notice you've switched from the per day comparison to per month. For consistency, let's stick with the daily number you previously quoted: 4,000. We aren't too far away.

I agree that the death rate is hard to measure. Not only due to the number of active cases, but also, in the other direction, because deaths from people who haven't been tested ought to be included [the Italians say this explains Germany's low death rate numbers].

I do hope the scientists get us out of this hole quickly.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: The genius...
By: Gsratio in ALEA
Fri, 20 Mar 20 1:25 PM 		Msg. 34792 of 54959

We now have different models.......at the time there
was only China.

There is Italy at 8%,China at 4% & Germany at 0.2%.......

The Spanish Flu had a monthly death rate of 1 to 2 million
on average over a 24 month period.

TB has a yearly consistent rate of 120,000 per month.

So far C is at 5,000 deaths per month.

It's not obvious due to vast differences 8% to 0.2%
what model it will follow.Also these death rates are from
those tested,so the real rate is much much lower.

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