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Re: Talk about undercounting

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Tue, 17 Mar 20 8:41 PM | 22 view(s)
Boardmark this board | The Trust Matrix 		Msg. 34735 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 34730 by Cactus Flower)
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Beginning to think this whole thing is a statistical catastrophe.

If the UK has 55,000 cases, 1,950 extreme cases and 71 deaths then we are dealing with something much more like the regular flu than the Spanish flu. A 0.2% death rate, at most.

Not only that, but if it metastasizes at this rate, we'll be done with it fairly quickly.

I can hardly believe they haven't done better sampling before now.

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The above is a reply to the following message:
Talk about undercounting
By: Cactus Flower in ALEA
Tue, 17 Mar 20 6:20 PM 		Msg. 34730 of 54959

"the UK could already have up to 55,000 cases of the coronavirus."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/coronavirus-news-uk-us-travel-ban-deaths-cases-latest/

The tested positive figure is 1,950. So they now think there are up to 30 times as many actual cases as the number that have been tested positive.

That would make it a non-scary virus.

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